台风吧 关注：280,852贴子：6,602,629
BoM 认为周末成旋几率增大
A weak tropical system may form inthe areanear ChristmasIslandtoday or onTuesday.Althoughunlikely tobecome atropicalcyclone near ChristmasIsland, periodsofheavy rainare likely.
OnWednesday the system isforecasttomove towards the westor southwest,away from ChristmasIsland. There isasmallchance thatthe system willdevelop intoatropicalcyclone duringWednesday and Thursday.
Later inthe weekthe likelihoodofthe system becomingatropicalcyclone increasesasitcontinuesto move towardsthe westsouthwest.
Likelihood of this system being a tropical cyclone in the Western Region on:
Tuesday:Very Low
Wednesday:Low
A weak tropical system may form inthe areanear ChristmasIslandtoday or onTuesday.Althoughunlikely tobecome atropicalcyclone near ChristmasIsland, periodsofheavy rainare likely.
OnWednesday the system isforecasttomove towards the westor southwest,away from ChristmasIsland. There isasmallchance thatthe system willdevelop intoatropicalcyclone duringWednesday and Thursday.
Later inthe weekthe likelihoodofthe system becomingatropicalcyclone increasesasitcontinuesto move towardsthe westsouthwest.
Likelihood of this system being a tropical cyclone in the Western Region on:
Tuesday:Very Low
Wednesday:Low
AN AREA OF PERSISTENT CONVECTION
IS LOCATED NEAR 12.0S 106.3E, APPROXIMATELY 550NM EAST OF COCOS
ISLAND. MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS AN ELONGATED AREA OF
LOOSELY ORGANIZED FLARING CONVECTION WHILE THE TOTAL PRECIPITABLE
WATER LOOP INDICATES A BROAD, MOIST AREA OF CYCLONIC TURNING. THE
011235Z SSMIS 91GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE SHOWS DISORGANIZED CONVECTION
ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A BROAD LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION
CENTER. ANALYSIS OF THE UPPER LEVELS ILLUSTRATES A FAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT WITH AN ANTICYCLONE TO THE SOUTH AND AN ASSOCIATED JET
MAXIMUM PROVIDING SUFFICIENT DIVERGENCE ALOFT WITH AN ENHANCED
POLEWARD OUTFLOW AND LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (10-15 KNOTS). GLOBAL
MODELS SHOW FURTHER DEVELOPMENT AS THE SYSTEM TRACKS WESTWARD. DUE
TO THE LACK OF CONVECTIVE CONSOLIDATION, THE POTENTIAL FOR
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS IS LOW.
IS LOCATED NEAR 12.0S 106.3E, APPROXIMATELY 550NM EAST OF COCOS
ISLAND. MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS AN ELONGATED AREA OF
LOOSELY ORGANIZED FLARING CONVECTION WHILE THE TOTAL PRECIPITABLE
WATER LOOP INDICATES A BROAD, MOIST AREA OF CYCLONIC TURNING. THE
011235Z SSMIS 91GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE SHOWS DISORGANIZED CONVECTION
ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A BROAD LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION
CENTER. ANALYSIS OF THE UPPER LEVELS ILLUSTRATES A FAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT WITH AN ANTICYCLONE TO THE SOUTH AND AN ASSOCIATED JET
MAXIMUM PROVIDING SUFFICIENT DIVERGENCE ALOFT WITH AN ENHANCED
POLEWARD OUTFLOW AND LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (10-15 KNOTS). GLOBAL
MODELS SHOW FURTHER DEVELOPMENT AS THE SYSTEM TRACKS WESTWARD. DUE
TO THE LACK OF CONVECTIVE CONSOLIDATION, THE POTENTIAL FOR
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS IS LOW.
不错！ A weak tropical low lies southwest of Christmas Island. It is expected to move west southwestwards over the next few days. There is a small chance that it will develop into a tropical cyclone during Thursday, with the likelihood increasing to Moderate on Friday and Saturday as it continues to move towards the west southwest across the open ocean.
This system is not expected to affect Christmas Island or Cocos (Keeling) Islands.
Likelihood of this system being a tropical cyclone in the Western Region on:
Thursday:Low
Friday:Moderate
Saturday:Moderate
This system is not expected to affect Christmas Island or Cocos (Keeling) Islands.
Likelihood of this system being a tropical cyclone in the Western Region on:
Thursday:Low
Friday:Moderate
Saturday:Moderate
IP属地:湖南
17楼2016-03-02 20:42
17楼2016-03-02 20:42收起回复
扫二维码下载贴吧客户端
下载贴吧APP
看高清直播、视频！
看高清直播、视频！
贴吧热议榜
- 1贴吧跳绳哥连续发贴打卡5000天1592400
- 2当你觉得自己没用时看看他1542278
- 3文化工作者一定要有文化1380148
- 4没玩过乐队的是这样吗?1101006
- 5清算！拳头实锤Elk利用Bug947232
- 6iPhone 16e真香还是韭菜机927300
- 7仙剑世界大伙体验了吗？831768
- 8NIKKE联动EVA二期开始768545
- 9泽连斯基交矿产资源讨好美国758714
- 10美团做不到的京东全补齐了703437
